Pick a material, a stage and a country, and say by how much its output falls. The tool shows how much of world output goes missing and what every other producer's share of the rest would be.
If mining output of antimony in China fell by 100 %, 36.1 % of world output would be missing.
This is arithmetic on one source table, not a forecast. It leaves out prices, stocks, substitution, new mines and how fast anyone could react.
World output missing
36.1 %
36.1 % share × 100 % cut
The same in the table's unit
40 000 metric tons
Mine production
Increase the other listed countries would need together to make it up
56.6 %
Missing output ÷ their combined share today
Concentration of what is left (HHIHerfindahl–Hirschman indexA measure of concentration: the sum of the squared percentage shares of all countries. 10,000 means one country produces everything; below 1,500 is usually called unconcentrated.)
3 131
2 582 before
| Country | Share now | Share after |
|---|---|---|
| Russian Federation | 28.9 % | 45.3 % |
| Tajikistan | 19.9 % | 31.1 % |
| Bolivia | 4.5 % | 7.1 % |
| Myanmar | 4.1 % | 6.4 % |
| Turkey | 2.7 % | 4.2 % |
| Australia | 1.2 % | 1.8 % |
| Kazakhstan | 0.7 % | 1.1 % |
| Kyrgyzstan | 0.6 % | 1.0 % |
| Mexico | 0.5 % | 0.9 % |
| Pakistan | 0.2 % | 0.4 % |
| Vietnam | 0.2 % | 0.3 % |
| Lao PDR | 0.2 % | 0.3 % |
| Iran | 0.1 % | 0.1 % |
| Guatemala | 0.0 % | 0.1 % |
| China | 36.1 % | 0.0 % |
By value, from the trade table (2024). Only the largest flows of each material are in the atlas, so the list is not complete, and trade codes do not match production stages exactly.
HHI is the sum of squared country shares (10,000 = one country). Where the table leaves part of world output unattributed, it is a lower bound.
Source table: Mine production, 2025
The whole scenario is in the address of this page: copy the link to share or repeat it. Not a forecast and not financial advice.